Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.437717 0.518306 0.608200 0.715708 0.840583 0.980849 1.150130
2024-12-22 0.304030 0.403590 0.526530 0.688698 0.896091 1.151455 1.488621
2024-12-29 0.244560 0.353468 0.498428 0.703793 0.985233 1.355089 1.875169
2025-01-05 0.204177 0.316890 0.476576 0.716502 1.064366 1.546172 2.258681
2025-01-12 0.169534 0.280509 0.446739 0.709839 1.110635 1.691715 2.589255
2025-01-19 0.143962 0.252498 0.423491 0.707094 1.158605 1.840253 2.934234
2025-01-26 0.129776 0.239801 0.421105 0.734509 1.253157 2.064297 3.410066
2025-02-02 0.127001 0.245533 0.448576 0.812241 1.434270 2.436662 4.147037
2025-02-09 0.116346 0.235460 0.447628 0.841389 1.537410 2.692812 4.719573
2025-02-16 0.101492 0.215162 0.425783 0.830894 1.570904 2.836113 5.117132
2025-02-23 0.086564 0.192233 0.395874 0.801654 1.567255 2.914580 5.409409
2025-03-02 0.072947 0.169657 0.363430 0.763248 1.541909 2.951387 5.629943
2025-03-09 0.068360 0.165740 0.367781 0.797815 1.659207 3.257720 6.365656
2025-03-16 0.058407 0.148454 0.342792 0.771136 1.656561 3.345829 6.714449
2025-03-23 0.053608 0.142013 0.339484 0.788136 1.741089 3.603027 7.397430
2025-03-30 0.049137 0.135555 0.335174 0.802266 1.820795 3.857040 8.093981
2025-04-06 0.043693 0.125710 0.321840 0.794869 1.854430 4.022781 8.631011
2025-04-13 0.039210 0.117506 0.311107 0.791821 1.896641 4.208538 9.221542
2025-04-20 0.037162 0.115430 0.314717 0.822259 2.015068 4.559650 10.173642
2025-04-27 0.038206 0.122087 0.340656 0.908517 2.266625 5.207765 11.784877
2025-05-04 0.036296 0.120003 0.344238 0.940845 2.397687 5.609458 12.907433
2025-05-11 0.032525 0.111763 0.330756 0.929206 2.424968 5.788869 13.569642
2025-05-18 0.028328 0.101405 0.310131 0.896772 2.399182 5.848929 13.977150